Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.227829 3.609764 4.023444 4.505539 5.052865 5.656000 6.372432
2024-10-27 2.542985 3.022594 3.578339 4.272523 5.120063 6.125769 7.416343
2024-11-03 2.212396 2.753394 3.413230 4.282617 5.405907 6.818996 8.748099
2024-11-10 2.015883 2.605325 3.355289 4.388376 5.788367 7.639301 10.304497
2024-11-17 1.836538 2.450200 3.259396 4.417201 6.051932 8.308557 11.713560
2024-11-24 1.690635 2.319472 3.175260 4.441764 6.296945 8.959703 13.152612
2024-12-01 1.567171 2.204712 3.097355 4.459465 6.522809 9.592465 14.621204
2024-12-08 1.427959 2.053368 2.951096 4.358424 6.554677 9.928324 15.655351
2024-12-15 1.329103 1.951255 2.865655 4.336497 6.698378 10.440294 17.016252
2024-12-22 1.237123 1.851182 2.773560 4.293059 6.798889 10.885504 18.305768
2024-12-29 1.205568 1.840209 2.815472 4.462905 7.257227 11.956792 20.793800
2025-01-05 1.139689 1.769954 2.757890 4.463748 7.429614 12.555291 22.498372
2025-01-12 1.068269 1.687395 2.676984 4.423148 7.534552 13.059798 24.118515
2025-01-19 0.965108 1.546082 2.489909 4.185816 7.270675 12.875887 24.396768
2025-01-26 0.917379 1.493209 2.446055 4.193845 7.448865 13.520927 26.389945
2025-02-02 0.890341 1.473039 2.455645 4.296779 7.810370 14.546876 29.290469
2025-02-09 0.852929 1.432227 2.426068 4.324856 8.030687 15.317920 31.750608
2025-02-16 0.817828 1.392940 2.396047 4.348832 8.243722 16.093625 34.320377
2025-02-23 0.784399 1.354306 2.364224 4.366118 8.443691 16.860717 36.970829
2025-03-02 0.737082 1.287557 2.276437 4.267427 8.397223 17.101258 38.423405
2025-03-09 0.703941 1.244657 2.229874 4.246008 8.508333 17.690270 40.784981
2025-03-16 0.670421 1.199007 2.175102 4.203578 8.570321 18.175608 42.955233
2025-03-23 0.664940 1.205710 2.220597 4.369477 9.098516 19.769751 48.171212